Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4fba4dcfc75f2f3d58133e8c9ffa2b3cf3b7d9d0adaf18753edf6d4941de68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 52,536$17,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,185.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 57c | 27,997$15,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,030.42 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 20,436$7,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,145.76 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 15,865$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.5 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 64c | 15,448$9,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 21c | 13,184$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.6 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 78c | 12,019$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.12 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 36c | 11,951$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.22 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 17c | 11,259$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 22c | 9,907$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.52 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 51c | 9,145$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,484.3 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 45c | 7,527$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 24c | 7,215$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.77 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 79c | 6,912$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 6,131$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.79 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 4,813$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.99 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 77c | 4,799$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 69c | 4,747$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 49c | 4,444$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 78c | 4,428$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 4,368$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.81 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Yes | 78c | 3,988$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 75c | 3,556$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 3,554$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.49 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 63c | 3,031$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 66c | 2,968$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,863$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 27c | 2,833$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.96 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 79c | 2,818$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,810$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.03 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,734$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes | 63c | 2,718$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 62c | 2,706$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.38 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 68c | 2,444$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 18c | 2,440$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.46 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 2,437$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.48 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 79c | 2,428$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 20c | 2,411$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 39c | 2,343$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.69 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 64c | 2,078$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 19c | 2,067$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 23c | 1,915$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,891$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 1,753$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.31 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 39c | 1,737$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.92 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 76c | 1,651$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 16c | 1,619$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.17 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,616$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.29 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…6746backed Yes | 77c | 1,604$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.82 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,567$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.31 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…f3e8backed Yes | 63c | 1,551$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 62c | 1,543$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.34 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 77c | 1,499$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.55 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,473$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 70c | 1,409$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 76c | 1,394$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 22c | 1,316$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.09 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Yes | 77c | 1,282$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…336fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,206$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 48c | 1,178$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.27 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 77c | 1,158$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 56c | 1,052$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 22c | 999.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed No | 29c | 990.41$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…6995backed Yes | 68c | 929.71$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 63c | 881.57$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 25c | 850.71$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…20cbbacked Yes | 75c | 848.01$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 67c | 827.26$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 80c | 826.13$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed No | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 46c | 749.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked No | 45c | 748.31$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes | 78c | 747.77$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…6e94backed Yes | 68c | 721.31$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 27c | 708.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 78c | 700.06$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…970abacked No | 6c | 693.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 57c | 690$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 21c | 689.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…aa98backed Yes | 77c | 689.69$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 20c | 689.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 21c | 689.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 56c | 658.48$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.73 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 76c | 650.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes | 33c | 643.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 22c | 636.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 23c | 634.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Yes | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…0a18backed Yes | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…bf1cbacked Yes | 79c | 631.94$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.