Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b9114e3c3edb0e0645106319b271ac742e94452d914f4d74328377f27808513

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $53,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,779 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Yes	15c	6,327$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	30c	2,605$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.29	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	76c	2,517$1,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.74	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes	16c	2,137$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.86	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-7.4wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	71c	1,718$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.65	755	42.3%319 W · 436 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.99	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes	23c	1,451$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.83	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	14c	1,383$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.95	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No	70c	1,338$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.53	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	60cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	57c	1,328$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.42	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No	40c	1,163$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.2	200	59.5%119 W · 81 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes	28c	1,093$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.18	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes	9c	1,050$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…3455backed Yes	23c	1,039$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.44	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	7c	1,012$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.82	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	73c	841.27$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.28	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	78c	699.13$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.49	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes	17c	698.68$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.78	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	44c	596.15$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.25	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	40c	521.37$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.67	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes	16c	517.35$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.47	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	27c	495.81$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.87	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes	45c	429.78$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.4	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	7c	399.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	137	21.2%29 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Yes	25c	384.74$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.49	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	14c	352.6$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.36	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2e…e50dbacked Yes	38c	349.65$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.87	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c17…84febacked Yes	60c	338.75$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.03	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes	14c	338.71$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes	48c	314.34$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.24	103	78.6%81 W · 22 L	+22.0wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes	63c	310.41$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.56	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes	40c	305.54$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.34	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Yes	16c	296.75$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No	67c	249.34$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.28	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.20per pick	58cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	77c	243.31$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.93	697	42.5%296 W · 401 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes	43c	239.38$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.93	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes	37c	231.73$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.36	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes	45c	214.89$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.7	172	34.3%59 W · 113 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes	50c	212.53$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.26	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a11…52bbbacked Yes	23c	207.35$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	70c	194.08$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.12	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes	50c	193.22$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a62…1cb9backed Yes	50c	192.06$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9e…970abacked Yes	53c	187$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3664…62c4backed Yes	43c	164.76$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.94	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	62c	156.6$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.75	196	54.6%107 W · 89 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No	65c	150.62$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.72	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	79c	140$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	419	56.3%236 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No	56c	139.91$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.96	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	11c	129.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	115	27%31 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	74c	112.97$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes	58c	109.24$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.36	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes	18c	105.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-34%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Yes	18c	105.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc00c…5fe1backed No	80c	104.64$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4014…8c3fbacked Yes	39c	103.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes	45c	96.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes	28c	96.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes	20c	96.52$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes	32c	95.46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+6.1wins	+0.16per pick	36cpaid	+100.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes	41c	93.38$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.59	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes	45c	87.77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ee…092dbacked Yes	13c	82.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes	56c	70.1$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-9.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	63c	69.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	1,161	57.4%666 W · 495 L	+40.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	49c	69.48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes	42c	68.23$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0322…77a3backed Yes	28c	68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No	49c	67.17$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.54	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed No	79c	65.46$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed No	63c	62.08$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.97	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Yes	46c	61.42$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.31	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Yes	41c	58.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Yes	37c	52.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	60cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked No	58c	48.3$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25d4…26fdbacked Yes	50c	47.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5d10backed Yes	24c	47.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes	42c	45.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	42	78.6%33 W · 9 L	+6.2wins	+0.15per pick	64cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes	46c	45.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	726	58.7%426 W · 300 L	+48.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No	65c	45.18$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	52c	40.63$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	212	50%106 W · 106 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Yes	38c	40.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e6…f265backed Yes	40c	31.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd628…1782backed Yes	39c	29.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No	60c	29.1$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.72	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes	37c	28.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.31	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No	79c	25.19$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.3	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed No	79c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes	43c	23.94$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No	45c	22.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.64	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes	52c	22.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed No	61c	20.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.07	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No	78c	20.66$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	189	61.9%117 W · 72 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	20	70%14 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No	77c	19.82$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.59	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event