TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c17…84fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.64
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$100.93
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$73.1
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.94
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.89
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$141.18
Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$93.12
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.64
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$68.51
Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royerbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$76.47
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+121.3%+$85.1
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.07
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.64
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.05
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+385.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+385.4%+$77.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$50.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.