Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942f3440451a021ee1c242171eb251ece3a69b1ed2856c3b62f5f59d154bfafc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 43c | 40,754$17,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,524 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 14,773$8,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.17 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 8,798$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 7,307$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 7,211$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 5,246$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 41c | 3,705$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.51 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 2,249$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.98 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 69c | 1,500$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 66c | 1,371$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 74c | 1,242$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 1,150$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,064$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 999.96$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 612.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.51 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Yes | 62c | 551.65$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 28c | 547.57$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 512.31$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 32c | 449.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.75 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed No | 43c | 398$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed No | 43c | 393.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 51c | 383.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 63c | 311.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…20bcbacked No | 67c | 310.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…2daabacked Yes | 35c | 303.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 34c | 302.14$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 31c | 281.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Yes | 61c | 264.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…84febacked Yes | 79c | 248.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 35c | 247.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked Yes | 64c | 243.01$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 195.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 191.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 183$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 167.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 60c | 161.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 67c | 161.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 32c | 159.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 32c | 150.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 142.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…8216backed Yes | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 121.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…b282backed Yes | 36c | 120.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 31c | 117.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 69c | 113.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 86.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 64c | 85.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 14c | 78.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 61c | 78.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked No | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 44c | 74.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed No | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 54c | 70.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 78c | 69.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 34c | 68.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed No | 40c | 65.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 64.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed No | 37c | 64.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a38bbacked Yes | 78c | 61.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Yes | 31c | 61.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 60c | 57.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 64c | 57.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 29c | 54.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Yes | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yes | 63c | 49.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 25c | 49.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked No | 38c | 47.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2e…12babacked No | 43c | 46.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 77c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 56c | 44.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 43.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 69c | 42.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…0bbebacked Yes | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 40.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…fbd4backed Yes | 75c | 38.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 36.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 42c | 34.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 30.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…c187backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9a…7712backed No | 37c | 28.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.