Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa231b8ac6e1611c0dfc52074fcc535c06639c6b879807d1ad1bc04c9ae5d9a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 73c | 11,788$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.78 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 6,016$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.26 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,731$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.18 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,610$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,355$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 761.5$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 27c | 590.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 573$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 445.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 27c | 308.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 304$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 292.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…1e21backed Yes | 28c | 287.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 27c | 269.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 21c | 190.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 155.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 22c | 138.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 23c | 132.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 28c | 119.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 118.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 72c | 116.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 109.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 25c | 97.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Yes | 27c | 79.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 80c | 67.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 65.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 80c | 59.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 78c | 50.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 43.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…33cfbacked Yes | 28c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 27c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 77c | 31.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 80c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.