Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67bef25099af65811df42f2d7c1aff78f8b6beebf560f175a78ec5e059ce89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 974.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 851.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 817.46$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 687.13$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 607.06$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 2c | 592.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 4c | 538.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 59c | 330.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 327.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 12c | 319.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 310.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 9c | 308.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 58c | 297.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 39c | 293.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 63c | 290.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…b9c5backed Yes | 12c | 289.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 257.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 231.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 230.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Yes | 43c | 226.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 209.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 209$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 42c | 149.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…6478backed Yes | 41c | 147.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 142.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 59c | 142.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 135.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 58c | 119.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 42c | 94.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 59c | 89.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 63c | 79.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 64.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 58c | 58.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 60c | 57.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 62c | 56.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 42c | 55.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 54.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 52.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 59c | 49.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 44.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 41c | 40.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 58c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Yes | 42c | 33.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed No | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 59c | 33.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 32.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 66c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 58c | 29.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 59c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 58c | 23.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 58c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.