TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes29c81,428$23,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,487.0611445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes33c28,981$9,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,382.283426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c25,171$17,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,871.412,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No70c22,430$15,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,701.2338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c21,152$14,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,015.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No71c20,511$14,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,562.9913748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c14,417$9,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,483.862,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed No42c11,618$4,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.582466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No61c11,506$7,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,018.553548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.763971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c9,281$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,558.331,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No19c9,070$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.0313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes39c8,050$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,910.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c5,653$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.9253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes29c5,329$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.532853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes54c5,228$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.4176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No31c4,738$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.0314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No61c4,514$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.7139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes64c3,751$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes66c3,605$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.2118748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes34c3,503$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No32c3,349$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.647327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df1…0c44backed No36c3,339$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes68c3,102$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.529660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes55c2,926$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.781947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes29c2,631$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.155536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c2,540$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c2,468$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.262,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c2,203$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3426319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c1,999$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.9490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c1,967$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes29c1,958$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.9834628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes29c1,689$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.37850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No11c1,555$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c1,488$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.675442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes71c1,256$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No39c1,231$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1815249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No40c1,205$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48210058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes30c1,201$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.494734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,200$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.9655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes29c1,149$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.76634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No61c1,114$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.776160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0211…41f4backed Yes57c1,088$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No61c1,085$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes28c999.92$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9413554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked No47c993.25$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.211855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes29c957.4$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.754334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No10c777.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.783330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes29c746.11$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.746229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c733.85$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.374564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No34c720.42$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3841343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes29c670.18$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.832828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes29c660.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.81838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes44c658.72$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.817650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes78c628.77$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes29c617.59$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.495335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed No54c591.93$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.982245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No43c590.72$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.654557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced3…10d1backed Yes60c587.53$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No11c580.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.634637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No64c544.21$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.928757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed No64c535.06$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No72c524.18$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes76c520.36$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.462646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No72c491.6$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No61c488.3$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.862924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes51c458.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.745248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes32c442.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.1329250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No47c419.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.922944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes36c402.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.152128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes40c392.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.77638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e9f4backed Yes65c391.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes29c391.58$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.025154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes57c384.12$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.093040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No67c373$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9111430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No71c372.9$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7613846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No71c372.89$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7522146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No65c371.97$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.025856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80df…c5e2backed Yes29c366.45$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No8c331.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0721250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No25c329.11$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2310939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No41c328.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.832646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No61c320.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3224052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No7c318.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1220651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No33c313.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.788959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No40c309.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.895347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes55c300.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5738233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No47c298.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c295.09$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes29c293.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.378930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c287.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c274.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.623161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes48c272.48$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.673237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Yes29c262.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.115028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.518352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.