UFC · resolved market
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc0534302892e3443a02168e8fc04af83ac8d191aa71ddc83d8991071ef9927f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yaroslav Amosovof Yaroslav Amosov, Joel Álvarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 104,246$65,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,782.72 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 67,800$25,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,086 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 45,565$16,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,858.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 27,991$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 16,400$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 12,407$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.98 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 11,840$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…da89backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 10,783$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 10,507$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.62 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Joel Álvarez | 38c | 10,025$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.75 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 10,020$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.42 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yaroslav Amosov | 62c | 9,777$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.98 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf5…7898backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 9,650$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Joel Álvarez | 26c | 8,553$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.35 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 8,378$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 7,025$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…d7cfbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 6,273$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…0eecbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…e25abacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 5,973$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yaroslav Amosov | 67c | 5,940$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 5,850$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.66 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…c2acbacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 5,305$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Joel Álvarez | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 4,536$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 4,294$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.37 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…7df7backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 4,230$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…c73abacked Joel Álvarez | 36c | 4,053$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yaroslav Amosov | 68c | 3,779$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…8935backed Joel Álvarez | 39c | 3,171$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…b1e6backed Yaroslav Amosov | 65c | 3,050$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Joel Álvarez | 23c | 3,009$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yaroslav Amosov | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Joel Álvarez | 35c | 2,690$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Joel Álvarez | 35c | 2,652$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.27 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…acf6backed Joel Álvarez | 32c | 2,649$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joel Álvarez | 29c | 2,646$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.12 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Joel Álvarez | 21c | 2,629$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Joel Álvarez | 23c | 2,554$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 2,462$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.32 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 2,351$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Joel Álvarez | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 2,188$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…0af7backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 2,069$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…d16ebacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 2,053$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yaroslav Amosov | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,899$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…1a2abacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,848$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 65c | 1,801$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,797$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…b975backed Yaroslav Amosov | 61c | 1,715$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,650$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.29 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…7e1abacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,606$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa2…3620backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe37…77c8backed Joel Álvarez | 38c | 1,566$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…ee6dbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,561$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,557$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.22 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,527$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…dcf7backed Yaroslav Amosov | 67c | 1,486$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,430$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.69 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…80a9backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,389$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Yaroslav Amosov | 74c | 1,335$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.37 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,326$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.54 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,297$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Yaroslav Amosov | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Yaroslav Amosov | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Joel Álvarez | 38c | 1,276$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Joel Álvarez | 32c | 1,267$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Joel Álvarez | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.91 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Joel Álvarez | 34c | 1,238$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Yaroslav Amosov | 65c | 1,183$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,170$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 1,151$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.44 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…5dccbacked Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…f0bcbacked Joel Álvarez | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Yaroslav Amosov | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…64b7backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Joel Álvarez | 23c | 1,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Joel Álvarez | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yaroslav Amosov | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Joel Álvarez | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yaroslav Amosov | 60c | 982.43$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.93 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Joel Álvarez | 37c | 935.14$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.