Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd331855f9eff6aa26c50b539294f83b89b5075b4b207dd419aab09ff02a18960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,475,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,475,696 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 252,649$113,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,295.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 64c | 195,000$123,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,849.97 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 63c | 125,000$78,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,499.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 86,681$31,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,803.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 79,578$50,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,216.81 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 62,268$39,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,766.3 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 71c | 61,105$43,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,877.04 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 37c | 55,650$20,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,059.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 47,794$17,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,418.01 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…493fbacked Yes | 64c | 39,063$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 65c | 38,101$24,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,640.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 38,045$13,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,348.56 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 64c | 36,551$23,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,392.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 35,648$13,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,378.7 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 40c | 33,053$13,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,167.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,899.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 37c | 28,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,640 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 42c | 26,491$11,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,195.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 38c | 19,191$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,914.42 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 19,160$7,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,970.71 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes | 12c | 17,109$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 37c | 16,217$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,216.61 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 36c | 14,475$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,239.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 37c | 13,574$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.38 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 37c | 13,527$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,521.59 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 11,647$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.32 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 49c | 11,112$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 10,785$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.78 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 37c | 9,889$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.47 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 9,863$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,236.42 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 9,860$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.37 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 37c | 9,289$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 63c | 9,286$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 37c | 9,140$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…7221backed Yes | 64c | 8,807$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,636.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Yes | 62c | 8,369$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 63c | 7,922$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 37c | 7,850$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 37c | 7,640$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…14e0backed No | 36c | 7,377$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 36c | 7,179$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 18c | 6,926$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 6,282$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.35 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 36c | 6,240$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.59 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 36c | 6,240$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 39c | 6,003$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.57 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 5,764$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 36c | 5,750$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.83 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 5,601$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.47 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked No | 80c | 5,487$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 63c | 5,438$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.91 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 36c | 5,418$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 58c | 5,196$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.65 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…1e92backed No | 36c | 4,789$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 64c | 4,643$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 37c | 4,498$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 45c | 4,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,188$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.75 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 63c | 4,170$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 4,162$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.53 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 15c | 4,016$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 36c | 3,912$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 52c | 3,847$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 32c | 3,769$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,543$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.49 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 10c | 3,465$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 3,458$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.26 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 37c | 3,329$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 63c | 3,271$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.6 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 3,192$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.71 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 3,160$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 36c | 3,140$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.8 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 27c | 2,988$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 6c | 2,985$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 2,983$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.53 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…5270backed No | 36c | 2,826$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,796$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 29c | 2,727$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Yes | 11c | 2,700$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 37c | 2,579$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,545$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 2,520$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 2,500$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.44 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 37c | 2,385$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…c4cfbacked Yes | 40c | 2,377$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 25c | 2,366$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 2,365$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 37c | 2,359$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…5ffabacked Yes | 63c | 2,331$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.