NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7268c1ddb386be473a4cdc526812271338a3782b62c292af9d920a3da7d246fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Nuggets, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,463,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,463,493 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 70c | 1,267,227$885,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381,499.78 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 32c | 917,018$291,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291,712.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Nuggets | 40c | 875,000$353,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353,145.36 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 163,000$70,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,089.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Nuggets | 38c | 157,736$59,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,939.74 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Nuggets | 39c | 150,000$57,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,899.53 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nuggets | 36c | 146,782$52,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,998.62 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 58c | 137,453$79,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,335.85 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Nuggets | 40c | 125,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.97 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 61c | 110,288$67,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,623.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 35c | 100,309$34,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,642.25 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Thunder | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 58c | 93,751$54,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,732.16 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Thunder | 62c | 85,050$52,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,319.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 78,943$36,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,758.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 61c | 76,956$47,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,748.18 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 64c | 74,850$47,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,243 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 29c | 73,465$21,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,398.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 62c | 65,557$40,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,911.47 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Thunder | 62c | 63,360$39,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,076.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 70c | 58,407$40,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,522.2 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 40c | 51,374$20,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,642.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Nuggets | 31c | 51,003$15,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,810.92 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 35c | 49,728$17,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,242 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Thunder | 57c | 49,500$28,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,285 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Nuggets | 0c | 49,365$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 19c | 47,631$9,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,056.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 71c | 42,532$30,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,137.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 31c | 42,084$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 62c | 41,580$25,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,719.93 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Nuggets | 32c | 39,901$12,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,639.22 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 39c | 39,552$15,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,424.98 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 54c | 36,648$19,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,996.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Thunder | 64c | 34,431$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,381.34 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Nuggets | 36c | 34,197$12,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,311.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Thunder | 62c | 34,100$21,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,958.08 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 62c | 33,710$20,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,756.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Nuggets | 36c | 32,543$11,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,673.47 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nuggets | 31c | 31,114$9,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527.48 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 65c | 31,000$20,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,880 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.7 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Thunder | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Thunder | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Thunder | 71c | 29,995$21,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.38 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Thunder | 64c | 29,577$19,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nuggets | 34c | 29,063$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.39 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 28,972$8,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Thunder | 78c | 28,140$22,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.13 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 35c | 27,072$9,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,424.75 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 60c | 27,033$16,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,728.14 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 36c | 24,717$8,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,909.37 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd91…a603backed Thunder | 55c | 24,675$13,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,220.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Thunder | 66c | 24,520$16,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,387.36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Nuggets | 36c | 24,291$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.44 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 70c | 24,000$16,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 62c | 23,249$14,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,752.1 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuggets | 40c | 23,106$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.06 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 63c | 22,755$14,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,479.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 65c | 22,179$14,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Thunder | 59c | 21,382$12,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.68 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Nuggets | 42c | 21,166$8,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,902.11 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Thunder | 49c | 21,000$10,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,723.92 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…e2fdbacked Nuggets | 0c | 20,998$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Thunder | 63c | 20,827$13,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,643.89 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Thunder | 64c | 20,067$12,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.13 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 50c | 20,013$9,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,076.25 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Thunder | 63c | 20,000$12,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.92 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Thunder | 72c | 19,900$14,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.09 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Nuggets | 28c | 19,900$5,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.93 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 65c | 19,647$12,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,864.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nuggets | 33c | 18,672$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.68 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Nuggets | 5c | 18,547$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.51 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Thunder | 66c | 17,856$11,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.46 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets | 14c | 17,575$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.95 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 71c | 17,550$12,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.36 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 62c | 17,454$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Nuggets | 41c | 17,231$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.58 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 37c | 17,110$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.08 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 63c | 17,089$10,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.71 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Nuggets | 30c | 17,088$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.57 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Thunder | 45c | 17,076$7,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,428.99 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Thunder | 64c | 16,839$10,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.08 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Thunder | 51c | 16,702$8,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,112.14 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nuggets | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +141%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Thunder | 55c | 14,503$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.89 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 14,405$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,342.75 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Nuggets | 29c | 14,382$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.23 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 29c | 14,112$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.93 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 62c | 13,658$8,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Nuggets | 30c | 13,335$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Thunder | 69c | 13,000$9,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.71 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Thunder | 60c | 12,700$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Thunder | 60c | 12,675$7,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,118.26 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 63c | 12,196$7,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.71 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 60c | 12,133$7,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.16 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 29c | 12,008$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.51 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Nuggets | 41c | 11,890$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.