NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4574600b6fc6a5cb27e253abe9ab66e2156f4c64c9a9c776b401178275498ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Thunder, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,872 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 41c | 5,639$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,960$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.42 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 44c | 3,171$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nuggets | 58c | 2,846$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.34 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,775$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,126$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,951$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,790$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,766$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Thunder | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Thunder | 47c | 859.57$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Nuggets | 53c | 660$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nuggets | 58c | 621.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 43c | 553.72$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 58c | 516.65$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 47c | 515.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 43c | 476.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Thunder | 47c | 436.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Thunder | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 40c | 408.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Thunder | 48c | 389.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 42c | 378.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.19 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 42c | 376$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Nuggets | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Nuggets | 52c | 329.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nuggets | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 45c | 285.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Nuggets | 56c | 273.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Thunder | 47c | 252.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nuggets | 60c | 251.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Thunder | 48c | 242.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed Nuggets | 58c | 239.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Nuggets | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Thunder | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Thunder | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 181.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 178$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Nuggets | 52c | 159$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Thunder | 46c | 131.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Thunder | 48c | 121.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Nuggets | 55c | 116.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 59c | 103.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 40c | 100.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Thunder | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Nuggets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Thunder | 48c | 99.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 39c | 97.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…d9e1backed Nuggets | 65c | 96.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 37c | 96.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Thunder | 41c | 83.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 52c | 75.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…271dbacked Thunder | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…74f9backed Nuggets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 46c | 67.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Thunder | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Nuggets | 62c | 60.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Thunder | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets | 53c | 52.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Thunder | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Nuggets | 62c | 38.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 41c | 37.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Thunder | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Thunder | 47c | 36.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Thunder | 47c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Thunder | 42c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Thunder | 47c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 45c | 24.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Nuggets | 58c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Nuggets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 246.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 248.5Over won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.