TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,235 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No65c1,106$716 inWon+$3901,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6138…eac5backed Yes35c574.03$200 inLost-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked Yes36c305.56$110 inLost-$1103844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes35c290$101 inLost-$101.4423748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No66c280.62$185 inWon+$95.4116139.8%64 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed Yes34c145.4$50 inLost-$506361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked No72c110.57$80 inWon+$30.984557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2691…f3b8backed Yes40c99.44$40 inLost-$404131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes34c98.4$33 inLost-$33.495836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Yes34c90.62$31 inLost-$30.813852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No66c87.17$57 inWon+$29.9492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No64c78.11$50 inWon+$28.1297049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1e…0673backed Yes28c77.13$22 inLost-$21.62927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Yes33c75.79$25 inLost-$2513345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No65c56$36 inWon+$19.695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No50c28$14 inWon+$1443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No56c23.63$13 inWon+$10.31,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Yes48c22.92$11 inLost-$112653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e80…32dcbacked No66c18$12 inWon+$6.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.