Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5adc78caac8c7264376f760c31bf674d8c2548590c589962c79e9ca87edd9e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,001,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $945,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,001,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 622 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 21c | 61,254$12,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,701.53 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 17c | 55,894$9,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,502 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 19c | 49,867$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,474.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 36,300$28,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,588.62 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 25,722$11,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,365.6 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes | 22c | 25,105$5,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,442.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 16c | 17,895$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.13 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 16,861$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.47 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 16,478$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,015.09 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 27c | 15,257$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 14,484$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.08 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…8902backed Yes | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 17c | 13,974$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 21c | 12,894$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.25 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 17c | 12,811$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 51c | 10,080$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,171.43 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Yes | 18c | 9,408$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 17c | 8,552$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 8,049$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.09 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 77c | 7,237$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,582.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…a548backed Yes | 29c | 5,868$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 17c | 5,868$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Yes | 18c | 5,282$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…e315backed Yes | 1c | 4,703$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 19c | 4,621$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.52 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…570ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,472$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Yes | 28c | 4,442$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.84 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 16c | 4,119$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.27 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 16c | 4,035$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 4,001$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.55 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Yes | 22c | 3,851$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 20c | 3,845$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.99 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 44c | 3,729$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.12 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Yes | 27c | 3,642$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 72c | 3,301$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…3afebacked Yes | 17c | 3,300$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 17c | 3,192$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 3,089$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.84 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,958$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 69c | 2,848$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Yes | 17c | 2,795$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 2,794$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.08 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 2,788$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.18 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3331…c6a4backed Yes | 25c | 2,626$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 59c | 2,614$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,515$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 72c | 2,478$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 73c | 2,356$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 52c | 2,307$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.99 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Yes | 17c | 2,280$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,125$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,100$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 2,068$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 17c | 2,054$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,983$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.91 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…4683backed Yes | 75c | 1,970$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 29c | 1,957$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,956$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d9…27a3backed Yes | 76c | 1,954$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 73c | 1,939$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 1,821$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.82 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 18c | 1,814$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.94 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676a…a7c7backed Yes | 17c | 1,807$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.11 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…7a6bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 36c | 1,746$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.52 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 79c | 1,718$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 1,679$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.09 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 1,631$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.03 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,580$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 60c | 1,579$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 77c | 1,571$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 1,481$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.07 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,446$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…8ab0backed Yes | 80c | 1,444$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…8297backed No | 73c | 1,428$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 63c | 1,297$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 17c | 1,241$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,189$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 31c | 1,165$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…4463backed Yes | 29c | 1,155$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 28c | 1,148$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…08c5backed No | 70c | 1,129$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Yes | 17c | 1,045$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 16c | 1,035$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 73c | 1,020$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 76c | 1,015$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.71 | 389 | 53.7%209 W · 180 L | +21.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 36c | 1,002$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Yes | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.