Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e0e21aab2d6dbdae148134b816c461b6582d216fdc2a783a107b44018713ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,171,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,253,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,171,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 22c | 71,258$15,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,862.46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 3c | 64,556$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 18c | 36,779$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,589.28 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 15c | 32,872$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.32 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 17c | 30,000$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.63 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,007$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…c43ebacked Yes | 13c | 26,157$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 25c | 20,483$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,215.2 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 22c | 18,613$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.29 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 12c | 15,467$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.43 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…d480backed Yes | 25c | 14,588$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +338.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 18c | 13,574$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 9c | 12,827$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.88 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 36c | 11,029$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.6 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 76c | 10,759$8,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.91 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 9,845$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.87 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 46c | 9,754$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…312ebacked Yes | 15c | 9,368$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…ed1fbacked Yes | 20c | 9,094$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…c470backed Yes | 4c | 8,974$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 5c | 8,831$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…cb1ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,794$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…f537backed Yes | 0c | 8,249$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 8,105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Yes | 7c | 7,976$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed Yes | 17c | 7,825$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…7632backed Yes | 13c | 7,233$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 12c | 6,979$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.41 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 44c | 6,881$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 6,750$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.44 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 2c | 6,727$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 26c | 6,626$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.74 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 6,608$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.3 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,548$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 6,515$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.68 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 17c | 6,441$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 18c | 6,154$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.51 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,648$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed No | 79c | 5,599$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,442$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…8974backed Yes | 14c | 5,211$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 21c | 5,100$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…f5bebacked Yes | 21c | 5,053$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f2fbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,995$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…8931backed Yes | 7c | 4,942$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 13c | 4,540$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 57c | 4,457$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,280$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.16 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…fef7backed Yes | 12c | 4,094$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…4926backed Yes | 24c | 4,046$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…d131backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…d75cbacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…92e0backed Yes | 25c | 3,963$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 17c | 3,700$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 15c | 3,656$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.74 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Yes | 10c | 3,560$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…64a5backed Yes | 19c | 3,475$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0465…e95cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,451$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 13c | 3,406$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 72c | 3,183$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 64c | 3,116$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.92 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…a3f6backed Yes | 23c | 3,103$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 2,913$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…f6b8backed No | 41c | 2,900$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,797$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 15c | 2,718$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.68 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…0b9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,717$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 21c | 2,617$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.23 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,607$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.98 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 21c | 2,600$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 50c | 2,577$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…def1backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…bc37backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,489$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…cc22backed Yes | 41c | 2,467$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,408$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…c192backed No | 74c | 2,400$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…906abacked Yes | 6c | 2,382$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,359$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.14 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…4373backed Yes | 54c | 2,340$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,323$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 2c | 2,287$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…5392backed Yes | 2c | 2,254$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…35ebbacked Yes | 13c | 2,239$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 2,229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…03c9backed No | 74c | 2,200$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 2,173$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…2b73backed Yes | 12c | 2,133$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 24c | 2,131$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 7c | 2,100$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…fa1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,086$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…a303backed Yes | 18c | 2,056$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 49c | 2,053$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 9c | 2,052$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…aeb9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.