Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435c1685493bfeb01cc030084807929c8e3b137a43c7907840e752c51eb6058b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 2c | 51,998$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.47 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 40,062$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.79 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 3c | 34,000$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 29,655$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…11c5backed Yes | 0c | 28,946$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 23,958$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,624$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 15,210$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 3c | 14,755$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.85 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 2c | 13,359$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 11,713$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 5c | 11,465$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.32 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8909…11a2backed Yes | 4c | 11,293$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…d336backed Yes | 2c | 8,381$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…66bcbacked Yes | 0c | 7,844$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 3c | 5,727$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 5,700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 5,410$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 4,663$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,123$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,064$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 2c | 3,896$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,866$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 3,848$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 5c | 3,733$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,687$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 2c | 3,484$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,014$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,995$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8c…03b9backed Yes | 3c | 2,980$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd9…1cefbacked Yes | 4c | 2,830$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 3c | 2,698$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 4c | 2,657$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,617$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…7bbbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 2,071$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…5afdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,036$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…a577backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…81a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,974$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 3c | 1,791$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,768$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…c080backed Yes | 6c | 1,650$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 1,647$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…f384backed Yes | 3c | 1,504$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 4c | 1,468$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 1c | 1,437$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…403cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,409$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fb…9be0backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…a2e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,343$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +235.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,258$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…8b27backed Yes | 6c | 1,093$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…a92fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…ad99backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…fddebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…c5cfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed Yes | 3c | 989$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +137%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 6c | 981.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e626backed Yes | 4c | 950.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…f2c1backed Yes | 3c | 946.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…5d18backed Yes | 6c | 830$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…9b82backed Yes | 8c | 763$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 6c | 753.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 708.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 3c | 706.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…3765backed Yes | 2c | 645$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…e7b5backed Yes | 3c | 640$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 638.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 3c | 629.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 7c | 596.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 4c | 568.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…f266backed Yes | 3c | 554.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…2cc1backed Yes | 3c | 544$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 486$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…b703backed Yes | 4c | 421.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Yes | 4c | 414.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +222.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 16cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…20dbbacked Yes | 3c | 398.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…7dbdbacked Yes | 3c | 391.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 5c | 329.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +247%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 4c | 328.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…b0a3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 15cpaid | +125%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…cb75backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ddb9backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…068bbacked Yes | 4c | 227.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…0962backed Yes | 10c | 192.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 175.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…cdb5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.