Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0806889461783a2394c4016ebd03c92a207ce2cedd90b7e53cac015bb3abb954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,120,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,120,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 56,933$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.23 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 1c | 53,874$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fb…4ababacked Yes | 1c | 48,422$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.92 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 42,580$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.06 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Yes | 1c | 31,605$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 5c | 24,355$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.72 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 5c | 24,000$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 1c | 21,295$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,955$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…d336backed Yes | 6c | 13,616$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,281$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 11,525$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 5c | 10,664$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.37 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,415$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 7c | 9,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 8,300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 15c | 8,196$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,418$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…b7e5backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 6,844$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Yes | 2c | 5,856$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 2c | 5,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 5,198$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 6c | 5,074$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…4c55backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…1cc1backed Yes | 4c | 4,852$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 4,848$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…99e9backed Yes | 0c | 4,667$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 6c | 4,446$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,363$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…0f93backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee10…ae2fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,072$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Yes | 14c | 4,000$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,873$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 5c | 3,747$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…a6fdbacked Yes | 14c | 3,593$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 3,556$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…fddebacked Yes | 6c | 3,204$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…f437backed Yes | 8c | 2,703$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 13c | 2,596$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…55f5backed Yes | 7c | 2,400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 10c | 2,354$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 2,252$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed Yes | 2c | 2,158$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…4bb1backed Yes | 5c | 2,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 3c | 2,069$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 7c | 2,031$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,027$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…6696backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…b8e9backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…2dcebacked Yes | 32c | 1,935$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 10c | 1,907$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…e661backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…d42bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 2c | 1,833$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…913abacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf108…2ff3backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,749$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…e263backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…8ea5backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…0d11backed Yes | 10c | 1,683$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1035…20dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,665$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…79ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,650$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2410…64a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,650$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…9f2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,650$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…9ed6backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…d6e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,590$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,576$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e626backed Yes | 2c | 1,551$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 19c | 1,538$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 12c | 1,509$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…46a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…da5bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,466$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…0962backed Yes | 14c | 1,451$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…71e6backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…14ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 3c | 1,393$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…85e4backed Yes | 14c | 1,389$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,341$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee31…d1a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd505…352cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,242$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 5c | 1,215$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 5c | 1,095$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,073$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…8bbcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,061$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed Yes | 10c | 1,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,013$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.