TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$605,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5711…2f81backed Yes0c57,010$200 inLost-$200382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…1f66backed Yes0c55,856$56 inLost-$55.86100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c38,303$38 inLost-$38.3437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes0c33,689$143 inLost-$142.78156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Yes0c20,000$56 inLost-$55.78220%0 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c16,168$22 inLost-$22.3411412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c15,222$45 inLost-$45.3521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c15,000$20 inLost-$206142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes0c14,770$55 inLost-$55.13746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes0c14,581$35 inLost-$35140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes0c13,161$60 inLost-$603810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes0c8,321$17 inLost-$16.641618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes1c7,623$41 inLost-$41.14350%0 W · 35 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c7,400$24 inLost-$24.3240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c6,111$37 inLost-$36.67440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c4,583$38 inLost-$37.58442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf8…e6a5backed Yes1c4,451$30 inLost-$29.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c4,285$13 inLost-$13.09478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c3,850$15 inLost-$14.8220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes1c3,785$57 inLost-$56.64829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes1c3,200$19 inLost-$19.4250%0 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c2,856$18 inLost-$18.1660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes1c2,800$18 inLost-$17.7240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c2,700$12 inLost-$11.8240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f0…3196backed Yes1c2,511$15 inLost-$15.07290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes12c1,249$153 inLost-$152.57671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c830.81$12 inLost-$11.6140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.