Golf · resolved market
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0209880f5a561cc74e29fc5b93b9d334f73dbd884c1c508b02b42355373aa4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 0c | 27,636$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…1f66backed Yes | 0c | 24,083$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 0c | 14,152$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 12,804$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 11,600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 11,553$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…1a98backed Yes | 0c | 11,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 11,495$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 10,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 10,246$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 10,240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…f10cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 10,103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…b3adbacked Yes | 1c | 9,939$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 9,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 7,707$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…ca07backed Yes | 0c | 7,668$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…0b85backed Yes | 0c | 7,654$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…e6d8backed Yes | 0c | 7,620$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…ac8ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…8d76backed Yes | 1c | 7,590$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…b96cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…602bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…990bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 6,900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 0c | 6,121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…fc48backed Yes | 1c | 5,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…5c51backed Yes | 0c | 5,800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…cd88backed Yes | 1c | 5,470$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 5,441$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…0b37backed Yes | 1c | 5,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…7bc4backed Yes | 1c | 5,080$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 56 | 0%0 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 0c | 4,552$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…9cf5backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…7324backed Yes | 1c | 4,295$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 0c | 4,132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…4dd9backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…38c8backed Yes | 1c | 3,975$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 1c | 3,846$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 0c | 3,627$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 1c | 2,955$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 82 | 9.8%8 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…695cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,857$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…4495backed Yes | 1c | 2,688$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…9ce7backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd9…2963backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…a01ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,492$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…686dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -94%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…9c83backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,978$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 1,954$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -94%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?this page
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.