Golf · resolved market

Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f5d699e7da16ccb976dc694771e1b5057a005bcb10a5481ad510458ad611624

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $443,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	0c	74,528$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.53	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	0c	41,258$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.52	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…1f66backed Yes	0c	40,882$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	10	0%0 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88cb…ab72backed Yes	0c	34,732$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	2cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes	0c	32,500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Yes	0c	25,244$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.95	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes	0c	19,216$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…355bbacked Yes	1c	19,164$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes	0c	15,909$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.23	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	0c	14,371$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.77	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	12,479$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.44	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Yes	0c	6,667$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7011…9b5bbacked Yes	1c	4,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes	0c	3,383$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	32	0%0 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event