Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce755d14e0723ed7b4d1379f658d5655721a3d09e19b5c8ea6cd845792991290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,542 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53bc…c6d1backed No | 15c | 1,286$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…0894backed No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 67c | 955.69$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.66 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 8c | 737.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 61c | 722.25$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.25 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…98c8backed No | 10c | 705.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes | 49c | 668.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 12c | 651.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 57c | 529.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 62c | 524.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 25c | 476.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…6a43backed Yes | 46c | 430.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 5c | 408.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 399.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 27c | 382.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 23c | 376.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.86 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 14c | 361.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…0255backed No | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f76bbacked No | 66c | 302.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…bd82backed No | 8c | 302$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 21c | 264.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 44c | 259.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…9c56backed Yes | 78c | 257.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 247.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 6c | 241.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 45c | 230.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…fe58backed Yes | 37c | 229.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 218.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 44c | 207.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 62c | 201.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 197.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed Yes | 53c | 187.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…a9cebacked Yes | 65c | 185.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…3beebacked No | 47c | 184$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 178.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be1…79f3backed Yes | 50c | 178.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 31c | 174.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…7d1bbacked No | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 53c | 149.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 34c | 146.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 50c | 146.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 145.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 63c | 142.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…acf1backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 137$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 131.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 52c | 130.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 67c | 126.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 36c | 124.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 48c | 122.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 20c | 117.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 57c | 113.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 26c | 111.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 22c | 110.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 41c | 109.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 37c | 104.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 67c | 104.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 39c | 101.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 28c | 101.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…b2e7backed Yes | 42c | 99.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 66c | 96.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 33c | 92.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 72c | 92.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked No | 54c | 91.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 54c | 89.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…7440backed Yes | 55c | 87.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 37c | 87.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 43c | 83.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…84cdbacked Yes | 56c | 80.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7df…1d0dbacked Yes | 51c | 79.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked No | 25c | 79.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 26c | 74.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 73.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 32c | 73.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…fc2fbacked No | 42c | 71.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…4daebacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed No | 37c | 68.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 44c | 68.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 20c | 65.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed Yes | 55c | 63.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…e47bbacked Yes | 48c | 63.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…f14ebacked Yes | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…b701backed Yes | 66c | 62.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…3b2fbacked No | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…6d8bbacked Yes | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 47c | 53.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 47c | 53.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.