Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd711428f90f740c45c94aa59b5d44bc648166a57c2adf2c18b8c53e1cfaffc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,633$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…6f82backed Yes | 7c | 1,373$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 1,104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,071$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 7c | 1,002$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 7c | 659.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…bd82backed Yes | 6c | 525.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 441.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…0894backed Yes | 5c | 431.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 7c | 419.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 412.63$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 7c | 349.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 16c | 344.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 315.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 15c | 312.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 42c | 298.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 4c | 290$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 8c | 287.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…41d2backed Yes | 8c | 286.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed Yes | 29c | 273.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 256.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 10.8%43 W · 355 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 7c | 239$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 235.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 43c | 231.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…fe58backed Yes | 36c | 231.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 5c | 219.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…6646backed Yes | 46c | 218.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 200.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 197.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 187.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 21c | 177.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked Yes | 38c | 172.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 40c | 172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 8c | 166.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 161$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 37c | 158.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 31c | 158.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 157.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 8c | 153.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 151.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…63d9backed Yes | 21c | 143.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 64c | 139.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 10c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 26c | 129.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…e47bbacked Yes | 32c | 124.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 28c | 123.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 62c | 116.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be1…79f3backed Yes | 17c | 113.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Yes | 11c | 110.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 62c | 102.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…abb2backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 48c | 87.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 62c | 87.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 12c | 86.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 18c | 85.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 29c | 82.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 30c | 82.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 82.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed No | 80c | 82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed Yes | 26c | 76.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…71febacked Yes | 27c | 74.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…05babacked Yes | 14c | 72.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…f9f9backed Yes | 14c | 72.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcb…634fbacked Yes | 26c | 66.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 215 | 47.4%102 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 29c | 57.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b2…df36backed Yes | 18c | 55.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 53.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 25c | 46.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…32a3backed Yes | 24c | 46.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Yes | 22c | 45.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…e8c2backed Yes | 36c | 39.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed No | 68c | 36.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked No | 68c | 35.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…f421backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…9481backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…5774backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 72c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 71c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…56cabacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed No | 66c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…8d60backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…504dbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.