AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143610d62cc5322323c2112169a2c2d81b6b2bf44a672af160209ef502490174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,032,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,892,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,032,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 1c | 91,939$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8f…c145backed No | 4c | 89,666$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 0c | 56,074$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 1c | 40,591$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.53 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 32,048$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.66 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed No | 0c | 30,797$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…cad4backed No | 5c | 29,998$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…6e0fbacked No | 7c | 24,863$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…3992backed Yes | 79c | 22,333$17,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 21,554$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.23 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 20,080$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 2c | 18,454$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 17,191$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 78c | 16,858$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.16 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 16,466$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.01 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…867fbacked No | 1c | 14,962$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 5c | 14,594$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.52 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…2b23backed No | 0c | 13,441$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 13,200$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.48 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 11,432$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.19 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 18c | 10,815$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.76 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 1c | 10,750$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…1a2abacked No | 7c | 10,136$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…6190backed No | 1c | 9,904$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…f010backed No | 0c | 9,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 13c | 9,403$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.39 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 9,180$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.11 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 5c | 8,993$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.97 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 78c | 8,714$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 1c | 8,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 16c | 7,646$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.91 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 5c | 7,630$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 13c | 7,622$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.59 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…eb21backed No | 2c | 6,830$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 9c | 5,504$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed No | 6c | 5,345$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…612abacked No | 10c | 5,163$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 4,606$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.81 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed Yes | 67c | 4,343$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.13 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c614backed No | 14c | 4,210$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…9d7cbacked No | 0c | 4,175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…b514backed Yes | 76c | 3,889$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 1c | 3,707$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed No | 5c | 3,450$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…51c9backed No | 0c | 3,423$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…6632backed No | 8c | 3,340$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…773dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,278$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 1c | 3,278$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes | 72c | 3,209$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…b75abacked Yes | 65c | 3,191$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 17c | 3,137$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef82…5ca4backed No | 2c | 3,004$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 4c | 3,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…212dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,993$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 1c | 2,968$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…4c9cbacked No | 1c | 2,857$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 14c | 2,851$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.09 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…7d4dbacked No | 1c | 2,820$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked No | 8c | 2,751$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed No | 11c | 2,714$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 12c | 2,453$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…33d9backed No | 1c | 2,391$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed No | 1c | 2,316$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…0ca3backed No | 1c | 2,281$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…8d31backed No | 38c | 2,173$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 1c | 2,154$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…fbe4backed No | 1c | 1,972$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 12c | 1,964$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,912$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,895$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 1,891$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…31e8backed No | 1c | 1,888$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked No | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked No | 9c | 1,873$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked Yes | 75c | 1,863$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 16c | 1,772$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.91 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 4c | 1,667$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,653$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 1c | 1,649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…cdd4backed Yes | 71c | 1,623$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…aca6backed No | 9c | 1,617$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed No | 8c | 1,472$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 6c | 1,463$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 9c | 1,434$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked No | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 2c | 1,325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…7d7fbacked No | 1c | 1,289$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…fe12backed Yes | 78c | 1,275$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed No | 16c | 1,262$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe676…c6f7backed No | 2c | 1,261$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…6884backed Yes | 79c | 1,256$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…20fdbacked No | 2c | 1,252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…0044backed Yes | 79c | 1,201$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked No | 17c | 1,200$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…d4f3backed No | 5c | 1,185$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 13c | 1,180$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 13c | 1,180$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.