AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a6fc57dbaddabc3ec84cfc0b9839583793c547599ff85b47f54cf0659e6bb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,086,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,618,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,086,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 0c | 173,993$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 96,959$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 36,330$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 21,817$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 13,523$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 12,994$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.41 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…1a2abacked Yes | 2c | 12,107$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…f6b8backed Yes | 16c | 11,836$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…8aa6backed Yes | 0c | 10,190$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…5aebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,099$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…cad4backed Yes | 2c | 10,029$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…d1debacked Yes | 1c | 9,331$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked Yes | 14c | 9,115$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,905$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…11fdbacked Yes | 1c | 8,750$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 12c | 7,766$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.09 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed Yes | 3c | 7,694$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Yes | 10c | 6,727$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 13c | 6,585$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 0c | 6,192$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 6c | 6,042$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 1c | 5,968$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…71abbacked Yes | 17c | 5,735$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,643$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 1c | 5,375$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 5,223$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 5,118$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked Yes | 1c | 5,009$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…dbcfbacked Yes | 17c | 5,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 4,997$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…d278backed Yes | 3c | 4,401$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…89f5backed Yes | 1c | 4,335$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 4c | 4,205$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 9c | 4,198$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.36 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf265…9dd8backed Yes | 0c | 3,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…3f68backed Yes | 0c | 3,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,573$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…4b55backed Yes | 2c | 3,494$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,439$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 2c | 3,427$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 23c | 3,390$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…b088backed Yes | 3c | 3,200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 3,145$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,060$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,059$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…a2a1backed Yes | 31c | 2,976$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 2,908$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 4c | 2,890$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 2,495$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 0c | 2,401$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 5c | 2,381$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 2,343$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 13c | 2,280$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.75 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Yes | 16c | 2,268$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 9c | 2,260$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 2c | 2,208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,089$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…a864backed Yes | 0c | 2,058$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…61d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,963$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 20c | 1,936$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 1,897$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…ec76backed Yes | 3c | 1,858$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,817$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed Yes | 17c | 1,768$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,736$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,730$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…c2b6backed Yes | 31c | 1,713$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,707$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,670$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,653$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,549$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 16c | 1,537$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…c403backed Yes | 13c | 1,389$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…23adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…657abacked Yes | 1c | 1,376$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 13c | 1,250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…6146backed Yes | 5c | 1,187$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…c686backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 18c | 1,167$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…735dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…61e4backed Yes | 13c | 1,103$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…de01backed Yes | 12c | 1,009$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…548fbacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…d4bebacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 14c | 965.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 4c | 889$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…2d34backed Yes | 5c | 880$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 20c | 879$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…8865backed Yes | 15c | 843.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.