AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c2ab7a32d20f943e3a404fa1d063336d36c8cd8427a6753a3ed9cb4477f858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,797,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,592,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,797,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 110,888$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 49,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Yes | 0c | 45,435$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 41,633$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,993$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…6e0fbacked Yes | 6c | 33,990$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 26,436$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 5c | 20,149$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.4 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 19,411$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed Yes | 0c | 18,714$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 18,092$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 14,537$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…cad4backed Yes | 3c | 12,933$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 11c | 12,563$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 2c | 12,473$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 4c | 12,198$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.65 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 14c | 12,061$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 11,055$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,323$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 5c | 10,307$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.28 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14a…9e30backed Yes | 0c | 10,210$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…415fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e4…faf1backed Yes | 0c | 10,210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…412bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…4c65backed Yes | 0c | 10,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…b611backed Yes | 0c | 10,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…7375backed Yes | 0c | 10,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…2974backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 9,804$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 7,794$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 7,501$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…4d68backed Yes | 3c | 7,375$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…85d7backed Yes | 1c | 6,806$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…11fdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,753$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 1c | 6,611$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 0c | 6,375$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…d1debacked Yes | 0c | 6,275$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,220$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 0c | 6,115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,818$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 5,320$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.47 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 7c | 5,075$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.43 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,717$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.93 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…c0efbacked Yes | 0c | 4,550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Yes | 5c | 4,466$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…dfa9backed Yes | 0c | 3,815$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…659abacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…fce3backed Yes | 0c | 3,446$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,393$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 2c | 3,361$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 6c | 3,176$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…da91backed Yes | 0c | 3,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…6ab4backed Yes | 5c | 2,893$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…670dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,801$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 2,742$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f980backed Yes | 2c | 2,730$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x887d…634ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,667$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 2,612$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…4109backed Yes | 10c | 2,600$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…aa9dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,302$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 3c | 2,210$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…be86backed Yes | 0c | 2,201$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Yes | 0c | 2,183$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…aca6backed Yes | 3c | 2,183$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,107$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…11aabacked Yes | 2c | 2,080$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…18ecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,040$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…6aa4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,937$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 15c | 1,900$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.65 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…657abacked Yes | 1c | 1,804$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…f0b6backed Yes | 6c | 1,767$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…f19cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,687$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…c3b3backed Yes | 9c | 1,642$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,641$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 1,589$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,543$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,540$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 1,519$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…20f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,496$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…e4d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,486$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…518ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,480$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 1,476$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…075fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,468$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,435$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,404$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4ff5backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…612abacked Yes | 5c | 1,394$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…ff9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,387$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,373$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +588.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…34d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,339$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…3297backed Yes | 6c | 1,292$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 1,290$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 4c | 1,232$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.