TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,673 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No47c105,903$50,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,624.57753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c39,421$20,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,153.542,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed No50c37,077$18,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,431.032040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c31,006$16,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,563.376,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes51c21,500$10,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,89035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c17,826$9,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,804.1985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Yes51c15,803$8,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,059.353661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,65013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes50c13,937$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.7517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked No50c12,548$6,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,284.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c10,554$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,296.372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c7,086$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.2551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c6,898$3,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,507.964,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7405…60a3backed Yes52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d36…f4a4backed No48c3,450$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes55c3,333$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.1518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Yes50c3,143$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.521947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No51c3,081$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.856654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c2,481$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.421,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes53c1,594$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0719632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No43c1,512$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.9810234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes49c1,332$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.851,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes54c1,273$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.3775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6506567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes42c1,171$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.972045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c1,060$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.871,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c981.37$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.651,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c852.81$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1396443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes51c843.14$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43013347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes53c834$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.3615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c765.66$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.717742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No47c749.12$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0322834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c38…ad0abacked Yes53c744.23$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.44825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes55c722.4$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3213939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No48c697.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.925560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c655.31$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.241,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes53c599.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9923258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes51c548.62$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.811232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c548.57$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3358919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c472.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9210246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c470.09$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.431,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x302c…108abacked Yes54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes52c405.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No47c399.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9936956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes54c360.63$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5618928%53 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes53c299$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0531747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c285.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.732,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes56c276.94$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.281,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No43c267.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.742962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes51c245.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes58c215.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258626.7%23 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c190.41$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8545142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037740.3%152 W · 225 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb7…f69ebacked Yes53c183.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Yes55c180.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.261546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes53c176.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9120840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8517053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Yes50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes41c157.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fb…ebeebacked No47c154$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ce…45c7backed No47c152$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes48c151.9$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No59c146.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Yes53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…ba17backed No47c139$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes38c136.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Yes47c134$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.982245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No49c125.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes51c119.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.069156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.125455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed No49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.657440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No47c115$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes51c110.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6380853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Yes54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5336259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.