Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1f75fd72ceb07cdbb32ee7ae28bfcb45b045792aaea81d839f42d54ec155f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,302$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.27 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,041$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 762.98$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 624.6$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 548.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…da0cbacked No | 37c | 543.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 405.49$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 293.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 273.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 202.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 151$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed Yes | 28c | 139.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 119.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 104.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 13c | 89.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 26c | 87.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 38c | 76.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 73.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 69.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed No | 73c | 69.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 73c | 69.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 67.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 29c | 54.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 52.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 51.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 28c | 42.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 40.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 37.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 43c | 37.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 35.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 69c | 24.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 67c | 15.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.