Golf · resolved market

Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20bffea1d88c94b36e080c2cb594df7a17b4d643d760d868aa779dc09dad844

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $920,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $438,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,689 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes	1c	158,878$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.61	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes	1c	105,491$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.91	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes	0c	93,703$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Yes	0c	81,658$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	35,509$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.82	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	1c	31,179$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.79	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes	1c	15,138$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.52	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe661…68cabacked Yes	1c	14,322$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes	1c	14,286$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f8…7de7backed Yes	1c	13,753$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes	0c	12,834$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.54	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-40%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed Yes	1c	8,401$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	1c	7,824$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.73	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x641a…8521backed Yes	1c	4,893$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	0c	4,707$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes	1c	4,167$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x855f…cfb0backed Yes	1c	4,059$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-38%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b79…7324backed Yes	1c	4,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	1c	3,998$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	56	0%0 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	3,122$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,394$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes	1c	2,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	23	13%3 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8960…46ccbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	1c	1,954$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes	2c	1,846$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.55	82	9.8%8 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	1c	1,704$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92dc…7916backed Yes	1c	1,584$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes	1c	1,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	1c	1,498$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	9c	1,489$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.92	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2130…290cbacked Yes	2c	1,466$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes	1c	1,400$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-94%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05d…58a7backed Yes	1c	1,366$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Yes	1c	1,364$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes	1c	1,364$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	1c	1,330$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes	1c	1,300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	6cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbce…fcccbacked Yes	1c	1,250$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeccd…d100backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3032…af12backed Yes	1c	999.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event