TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,720 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x682f…0243backed Yes22c68,543$15,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,079.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe847…a70dbacked Yes36c59,970$21,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,483.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No63c29,667$18,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,935.1413649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e0…fb31backed No78c26,612$20,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,854.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No66c22,297$14,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,605.0796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d5…4279backed No78c21,759$16,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1a…a84ebacked No78c20,172$15,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes20c12,808$2,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.962035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes32c8,799$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.351,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes18c7,545$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.149021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes25c7,098$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.5220548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb064…0b34backed Yes27c6,496$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+207.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes22c6,441$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.613026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c6,431$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No68c6,219$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.712070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+75.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes25c5,389$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.337833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No74c5,307$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.444656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c4,438$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.5994734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No74c4,139$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes26c3,696$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.733745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4342…5797backed Yes34c3,567$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2168960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ae…5be9backed Yes31c3,224$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c3…fd7abacked Yes34c2,851$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes34c2,788$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.921,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Yes36c2,749$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8850backed Yes37c2,471$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+210.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf89e…529dbacked Yes30c2,360$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes24c2,345$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.446459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3b2…0d0abacked Yes30c2,164$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+139.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…0761backed Yes23c2,151$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes28c2,114$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.111,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc069…3f76backed Yes31c2,090$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb4…47c2backed No80c2,083$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Yes27c1,961$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.156253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374d…13b4backed Yes36c1,946$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No70c1,872$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50af…0222backed Yes30c1,819$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…fe00backed Yes23c1,817$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes32c1,760$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes23c1,753$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No68c1,682$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.222556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No69c1,664$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6838741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No62c1,630$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.317035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf663…04debacked Yes37c1,593$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.35425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Yes25c1,585$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011725.6%30 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes25c1,581$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.311136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c24…4186backed Yes33c1,575$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc845…86c6backed Yes22c1,545$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes24c1,529$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.887244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes21c1,510$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.791030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6c…d41abacked Yes25c1,454$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9522…904fbacked Yes23c1,434$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d52…fd87backed Yes29c1,392$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed No65c1,365$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.773935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes24c1,338$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.262343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Yes20c1,331$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c1,299$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.13929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Yes18c1,280$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2150962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed Yes20c1,272$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.04166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd787…9eddbacked Yes24c1,236$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8622…c179backed Yes24c1,199$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…0b08backed Yes33c1,153$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.053438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…8a13backed Yes29c1,125$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed No65c1,098$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+589.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4112…66b3backed Yes25c1,084$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No69c1,075$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.854643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb25…4403backed Yes21c1,064$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+423.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes24c1,056$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1311844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No77c1,040$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No66c1,034$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98cc…f321backed Yes24c1,029$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f73…b17ebacked Yes23c1,020$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495b…47b6backed Yes26c1,003$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a8…13e4backed Yes29c999.92$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes20c976.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.418239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes20c973.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7254051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2dd…d9b8backed Yes32c946.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No77c886.39$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4698…9091backed Yes35c875$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3f…2e8fbacked Yes35c849.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf489…3a6dbacked Yes24c819.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f325backed Yes18c794.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.336264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9403…8c0ebacked Yes36c790.82$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5871…6735backed Yes47c773.12$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No68c771.97$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8516248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…e106backed Yes26c757.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f88…644bbacked Yes19c743$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5950%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1d…8a73backed Yes26c738.53$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+254.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1de…74e2backed Yes26c706.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.85425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+742.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes21c698.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf4…4192backed Yes26c667.93$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed Yes14c653.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5623545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Yes16c639.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.311346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd33…bfc0backed Yes31c639.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.