TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24cb…8a13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.27
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$333.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200.32
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$302.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.9
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$187.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$109.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$73.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$609.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.33
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$187.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$355.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.59
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$32.49
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$419
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$107.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400.4
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$37.8
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+30.9%+$93.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$100.57
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$140.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$164.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.5%+$462.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.