Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe087c3f215c14dca2aace1fa8a342add6e9240f2ca813b9ffbb4f3a6a8743aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 13c | 20,000$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 10c | 5,096$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 11c | 4,636$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.91 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 11c | 4,408$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…4ac4backed Yes | 12c | 3,547$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…b3c7backed Yes | 14c | 2,511$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…a544backed Yes | 15c | 2,088$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed Yes | 11c | 1,820$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 14c | 1,817$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,596$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 11c | 1,006$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 954.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 12c | 830$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b93…4fb1backed Yes | 16c | 733.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 14c | 720.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 12c | 474.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 11c | 387$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…b320backed Yes | 9c | 330.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 11c | 299.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 290.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 8c | 289.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 12c | 223$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 182.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…a7f5backed Yes | 11c | 181$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 13c | 151.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 12c | 130.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 13c | 110.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…2833backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…8f7ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…ba80backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes | 11c | 99.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 13c | 92.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 12c | 91.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Yes | 12c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.