Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4648b8109bc26439f86694fc6e1032fc135f43ade4bba4cfbc5d6184cf5d0cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $765,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $915,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 31c | 137,148$42,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,902.54 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 68c | 56,576$38,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,976.18 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 71c | 56,059$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,058.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 38,382$16,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,259.91 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 35,843$24,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,598.65 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 30c | 22,936$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.55 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 29c | 22,393$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 29c | 17,918$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 69c | 17,595$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…16efbacked Yes | 50c | 12,744$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 46c | 11,734$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 39c | 10,000$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,138.85 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 29c | 8,742$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 10c | 7,975$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 36c | 7,832$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.27 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…2583backed No | 31c | 7,540$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…d89ebacked Yes | 69c | 7,369$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 7,192$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 5,956$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.72 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 5,236$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.09 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 69c | 5,096$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 5,082$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.06 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed No | 45c | 4,705$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 70c | 4,408$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 28c | 4,317$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.85 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 34c | 3,857$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.08 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 28c | 3,525$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 48c | 3,512$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 69c | 3,452$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.06 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 29c | 3,313$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 68c | 3,088$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 30c | 3,068$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.75 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 55c | 2,999$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.52 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 38c | 2,926$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.72 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 31c | 2,873$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 33c | 2,800$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.83 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 9c | 2,507$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.06 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 2,457$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.17 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 44c | 2,067$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 66c | 1,988$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.96 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 45c | 1,899$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Yes | 67c | 1,677$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 1,619$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…efb7backed Yes | 70c | 1,440$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 70c | 1,426$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 6c | 1,400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 32c | 1,394$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Yes | 39c | 1,275$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 64c | 1,251$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 1,223$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.7 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Yes | 68c | 1,219$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed No | 29c | 1,201$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,088$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.9 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 47c | 1,084$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 67c | 1,071$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 29c | 1,041$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 1,033$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.65 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.06 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 51c | 999.3$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 31c | 968$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 945.08$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.65 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 68c | 911.76$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 47c | 878$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.32 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 861.09$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 69c | 805.31$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 41c | 794.46$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 775.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 773.95$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 57c | 702.7$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 43c | 700.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 67c | 656.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.72 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.