Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1a356a874bba62a8be2f4dfb2579f5d3897772469259d10ec8626b30f878f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a11…46a3backed Yes | 26c | 16,453$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 77c | 10,229$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,904.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 9,797$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.71 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 48c | 5,814$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.41 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 52c | 3,366$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 43c | 3,200$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.02 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed No | 36c | 2,100$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 2,040$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.18 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…f189backed Yes | 49c | 1,695$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 21c | 1,617$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,577$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,477$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.35 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 1,017$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 55c | 972.76$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.74 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 22c | 914.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 66c | 835.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 833.89$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 21c | 827.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 52c | 805$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 50c | 754.76$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 739.14$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 721.26$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 21c | 609$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 61c | 601.48$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 569.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…7718backed Yes | 75c | 560.21$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…bc24backed Yes | 20c | 502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 12c | 458$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 8c | 447.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 3c | 426.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 10c | 400$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…b320backed Yes | 4c | 359.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 349.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 332$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +380%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 9cpaid | +454.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 74c | 299.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 298.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed No | 9c | 242.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 49c | 222.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 182.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 173.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…fb53backed Yes | 67c | 164.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 148.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…e42ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed Yes | 75c | 143.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 60c | 137.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 35c | 125$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 36c | 109.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Yes | 54c | 106.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…1329backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e889backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes | 20c | 99.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 98.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 22c | 94.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…fd83backed Yes | 75c | 92.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 89.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 65c | 84.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed Yes | 75c | 82.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 54c | 79.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 22c | 69.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 33c | 67.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed No | 55c | 62.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…2e0cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 60.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 34c | 52.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 33c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.