Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffc07a3a4558d9c2dcf801409cd5010ab475aaec95c8b5fa97a982434a5c603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,999.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 36c | 39,750$14,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,255.58 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 35c | 29,691$10,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.2 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 20,882$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 19,411$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 66c | 16,975$11,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.77 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 73c | 15,852$11,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.17 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 34c | 12,764$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 12,227$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 12,066$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 8,834$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.56 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 37c | 8,500$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 35c | 7,649$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 5,999$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 4,960$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 4,807$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.16 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 33c | 4,309$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.93 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed No | 34c | 4,200$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,958$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.51 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 3,741$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.47 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,704$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 33c | 3,670$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 37c | 3,489$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.93 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 66c | 3,467$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 37c | 3,408$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 35c | 2,898$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 2,629$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 66c | 2,567$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 33c | 2,540$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 8c | 1,945$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 35c | 1,926$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 1,826$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 1,693$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 41c | 1,548$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.67 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 1,380$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.68 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 67c | 1,051$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 1,010$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.1 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 35c | 922.83$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 67c | 912.76$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 34c | 848.34$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 814.99$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 65c | 806$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 59c | 766.76$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.76 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 666.01$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 653.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 67c | 616.94$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 80c | 612.5$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 602.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 34c | 571.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 66c | 514$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 63c | 489.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 73c | 488.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 78c | 480$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 62c | 452$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 67c | 449.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 37c | 415$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 73c | 412.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 63c | 405$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 64c | 397.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 62c | 388$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 34c | 387.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes | 66c | 373.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…c52ebacked Yes | 80c | 351.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes | 69c | 339.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2e34backed No | 34c | 321.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…547fbacked Yes | 69c | 304.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.