Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf438f208b1623b98abbf13f93341e5a16e0870884674b7a6e6896847028baaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 31c | 947.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 395.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 363.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 345.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 68c | 183.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 172.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 18c | 138.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 127.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 38c | 104.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 96.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 86.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 34c | 77.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 70.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 34c | 33.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 26.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.