TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,659,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,659,875 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,005 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x742d…33fbbacked Yes64c5,037,779$3,222,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222,068.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No36c1,559,131$555,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003,318.3317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No36c285,400$103,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,8567542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No36c194,149$69,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,023.829141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c187,021$65,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,592.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No36c169,900$61,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,063.945547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No37c165,673$61,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,373.973050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No36c147,029$52,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,630.0613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No37c145,469$53,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,645.473450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No36c143,814$52,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,393.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c136,778$49,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,192.6351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No37c135,135$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,135.1411445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No37c125,200$46,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,875.9618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No37c122,680$45,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,555.231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No36c117,925$42,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,067.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No36c114,125$41,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,542.5421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No36c102,940$37,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,881.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No35c80,000$28,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,984.958146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No37c77,006$28,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,253.053060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No37c75,977$28,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,629.8212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c65,524$24,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,478.972,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No37c63,371$23,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,850.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No38c59,999$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,199.6815949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked No36c55,500$19,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c51,598$16,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,548.262,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes64c50,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes63c49,765$31,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,351.732030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes64c45,000$28,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,588.2414450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa103…2426backed Yes64c42,000$26,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,880785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No36c41,989$15,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,868.891457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No38c41,474$15,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,818.984040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c40,003$24,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,872.411,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No37c40,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,2003148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No36c37,007$13,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,536.612334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c36,546$13,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,024.0110335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No37c36,488$13,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,030.321770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No21c32,771$6,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,888.7720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No37c31,030$11,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,648.653256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c31,000$11,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,83035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No37c29,097$10,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,331.113759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No37c28,600$10,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,991.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+82.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No33c27,826$9,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,7222466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No36c27,821$10,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,805.513246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No37c26,679$9,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,789.225939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No36c24,812$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,812.319350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No45c24,479$10,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,554.5610042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No37c24,305$8,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,312.155337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No38c20,571$7,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,754.016142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,800475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes61c20,000$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,199.8816040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No38c19,278$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,952.3610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No37c18,888$6,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,899.4416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c17,790$6,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,251.371,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked No36c17,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,880683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No37c16,222$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,219.8685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No37c16,174$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,189.843070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No37c15,060$5,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,558.92642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes67c14,769$9,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,904.491,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8c…29e6backed Yes62c14,119$8,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,75410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes62c14,000$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,68013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No36c11,870$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,596.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes56c11,528$6,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,435.094,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No36c11,209$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,173.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No36c11,111$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.116354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c11,110$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,943.624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No37c11,019$4,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,941.927035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No35c10,757$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.142846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No36c10,507$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,724.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b5d…ff60backed Yes63c10,331$6,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,508.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed No38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1001560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.983036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No38c9,920$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.47544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No38c9,440$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,852.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+115.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No37c8,626$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,445.443240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No36c8,358$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.923253.1%17 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes62c7,888$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,890.5650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No38c7,028$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.331,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4109272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c6,668$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No21c6,237$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.763641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a8…c300backed No38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7202100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+258.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No38c5,980$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.4215944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70e8…f9a2backed Yes62c5,730$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes62c5,663$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.7910144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes71c5,648$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No36c5,552$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.7939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed No35c5,200$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3761266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked No37c5,045$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes80c5,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2003557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No38c4,770$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.392437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No36c4,595$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.8875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+99.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No36c4,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8801346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c4,221$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No37c4,087$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.681450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+124.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes62c4,032$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.