TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$717,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,375 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes15c30,254$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.0651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c28,263$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.752,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes14c27,038$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.932,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes16c20,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes15c16,398$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.791,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes17c12,245$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes1c11,994$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes16c9,375$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes14c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.973360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes10c6,663$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.34020%8 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes16c6,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes15c5,576$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.789141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Yes15c5,270$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Yes5c3,972$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c3,605$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes14c3,247$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.762,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c2,136$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.451,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes16c2,126$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.125034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes10c2,063$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes7c2,024$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Yes14c1,915$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Yes16c1,908$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes13c1,865$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1712741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes16c1,843$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.122335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes16c1,817$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes3c1,770$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.192450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes3c1,500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514030%12 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c1,439$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.341,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…3d13backed Yes13c1,428$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes16c1,406$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes4c1,320$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.521030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…b5f6backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes13c1,200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.84533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes16c1,177$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5939…4701backed Yes8c1,176$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+227.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8e…eaddbacked Yes5c1,129$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes15c1,106$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes14c1,066$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4111727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes12c1,065$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0327141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes8c1,030$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.681,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.65928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes10c952.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes16c935.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes17c907.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes17c867.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes9c848.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes15c800$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.523325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Yes5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes3c724.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Yes12c693.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes2c688.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes9c684.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.721,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Yes5c671.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c645.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c621.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes16c601.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.254139%16 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes15c599.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.989451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes17c589.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8265…af65backed Yes16c580.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes15c575.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.46150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes17c552.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410029%29 W · 71 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes5c547$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.453010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes15c501$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…7b12backed Yes16c494.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd602…358ebacked Yes4c476.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes13c446.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes16c444$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.048257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7063…eb48backed Yes16c437.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes16c436.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.866241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes16c434.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5636554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes16c411.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes16c410.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes17c382.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d6…f0a0backed Yes16c362.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+129.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes6c362.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes13c350$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1210924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes17c324.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0443…598bbacked Yes17c301.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes16c294.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0525532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes15c292.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.941,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes15c288$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes15c274.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes16c269.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.161625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes16c266.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes18c260$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.757855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.