TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,320 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c14,495$6,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c10,613$4,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,833.894,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c7,836$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.426,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a8…c300backed Yes22c7,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8502100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+258.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd98…de71backed No78c7,399$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c4,939$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.191,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes24c4,012$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.311650%8 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+53.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No76c3,928$2,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c2,857$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.631,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed No78c2,550$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes21c2,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,97572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked No78c2,479$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c2,468$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.981,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c2,378$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes23c2,173$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.0612532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…14f2backed Yes72c2,096$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c1,954$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes22c1,817$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No39c1,660$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.0442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No80c1,475$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1806550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes63c1,319$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.881,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes20c1,196$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.0751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes16c1,156$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.2528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes69c1,137$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.049246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes47c1,015$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.554837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No35c999.95$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.984835.4%17 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes18c976.19$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.194932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes21c948$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.9211443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c934.98$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.282,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.091827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.092437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes20c900$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.6711549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c899.97$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes58c847.67$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0210144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No4c828.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.247742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.245650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Yes18c560.78$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes21c548$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.383129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No74c533.58$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…3b62backed No78c469.21$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c437.46$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.151,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.782236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7811223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.788831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7819426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes60c433.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.332055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c384.97$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.236462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes51c360.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.043540%14 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes58c355.64$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.377143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes23c330.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3217337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c329.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe905…0efbbacked No78c318.04$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.51625%4 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24628824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes17c296.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.275928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes22c295.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.199150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed No8c289.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…5476backed Yes59c286.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…8668backed Yes43c284.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7063…eb48backed Yes23c282.61$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.788737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes67c276.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…ee84backed Yes72c273.22$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c266.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No34c250$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8321250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes16c244.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.933050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1644…0695backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.27650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Yes7c223.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+369.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes6c220.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1112741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No78c220$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.393458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.397349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes59c216.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.53650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes21c204.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.766740.3%27 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No77c199.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.981060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed No78c198$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.445052%26 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No78c186.81$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.714967.3%33 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes23c184.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+156.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7637…33a5backed Yes22c182.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+175%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1727…680ebacked No74c182$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.684261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes22c177.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.816241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.