TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca67…5476

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.44
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$13.25
Miami Open: Moise Kouame vs Zachary Svajdabacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$6.88
Miami Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$54.42
Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Morelos: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$37.22
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$22.86
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Counter-Strike: BIG vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$7.25
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.77
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Cbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49%+$71.5
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$21.58
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.72
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.45
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$185.55
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+394%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+394%+$3,148.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.