CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e4492b3a2ec4256a8af0ac747ff6e91859691fc17cb082fa1a6ae1de19470e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof ECSTATIC, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ursa | 47c | 10,003$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Ursa | 58c | 3,852$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.67 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Ursa | 35c | 3,358$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.58 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 57c | 2,704$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.46 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 2,239$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked ECSTATIC | 44c | 2,234$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.74 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 1,870$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.55 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…5cf6backed ECSTATIC | 66c | 1,855$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…ccb0backed Ursa | 34c | 1,749$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Ursa | 50c | 1,660$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.42 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 65c | 1,598$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 1,418$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.48 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ursa | 49c | 1,391$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.64 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked ECSTATIC | 45c | 1,330$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.57 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked ECSTATIC | 66c | 1,289$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.7 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 1,250$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ECSTATIC | 41c | 1,249$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 1,125$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.34 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…550cbacked Ursa | 32c | 1,055$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed ECSTATIC | 54c | 1,013$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.81 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked ECSTATIC | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked ECSTATIC | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…b2babacked Ursa | 31c | 992$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…ababbacked Ursa | 32c | 949$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 867.42$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Ursa | 32c | 861$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.21 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Ursa | 32c | 813$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…500fbacked Ursa | 31c | 810$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 32c | 782.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.17 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…b4a7backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 757$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…8239backed Ursa | 32c | 749$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 64c | 731.57$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ECSTATIC | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ECSTATIC | 66c | 699.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…f9eabacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 650$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb4fbacked ECSTATIC | 48c | 647.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 637.43$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 44c | 629.69$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…25afbacked ECSTATIC | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked ECSTATIC | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ECSTATIC | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Ursa | 41c | 588$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.88 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…778ebacked Ursa | 30c | 580$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…4144backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 563$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb696…af69backed Ursa | 30c | 552.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed ECSTATIC | 40c | 506.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…6c9dbacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 490$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…e103backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 487$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 487$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 37c | 486.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ECSTATIC | 49c | 456$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ursa | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 423$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.85 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Ursa | 23c | 412.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed ECSTATIC | 57c | 400$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ECSTATIC | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Ursa | 51c | 385.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 367.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 362$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked ECSTATIC | 44c | 355.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…6f50backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 349$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…f6bfbacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 342$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6cd7backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 325.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…7b85backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 323$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked ECSTATIC | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 298$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 298$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…a524backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 298$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Ursa | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ursa | 31c | 294.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…05e2backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 291$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 288.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.12 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 278.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ursa | 35c | 277.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f403backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 269$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Ursa | 51c | 264.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ECSTATIC | 65c | 256$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 255.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 239.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked Ursa | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -20.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…ac7ebacked ECSTATIC | 67c | 212.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ECSTATIC | 24c | 206$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Ursa | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed ECSTATIC | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 192.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…e077backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 186$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ECSTATIC | 46c | 184$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 176.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ursa | 75c | 175.75$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked ECSTATIC | 66c | 169.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Ursa | 50c | 165.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed ECSTATIC | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa | 34c | 148$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 49c | 126.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.