CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175e95d1a3ca020ad5a6b86f4a8d6069b4ba0ceab22198ad8b6b17fb249286de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof ECSTATIC, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 5,833$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.94 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 4,678$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 2,217$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 1,438$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.55 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ursa | 32c | 1,331$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ursa | 27c | 1,213$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ECSTATIC | 21c | 1,203$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Ursa | 17c | 882$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.06 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Ursa | 52c | 803.96$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Ursa | 80c | 781.04$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ECSTATIC | 5c | 561$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 555.56$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 437.06$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.86 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 79c | 431.14$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ECSTATIC | 5c | 391.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Ursa | 31c | 273.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ECSTATIC | 8c | 265$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 34c | 229.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 210.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 40c | 198.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 191.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ECSTATIC | 34c | 178.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed ECSTATIC | 10c | 154.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked ECSTATIC | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 26c | 141.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 136.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb3…2ab3backed Ursa | 76c | 131.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 123.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 122.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ECSTATIC | 14c | 111$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ECSTATIC | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Ursa | 66c | 93.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ECSTATIC | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 87.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed ECSTATIC | 46c | 81.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed ECSTATIC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ECSTATIC | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed ECSTATIC | 34c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…6517backed ECSTATIC | 16c | 68.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ursa | 54c | 63.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked ECSTATIC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Ursa | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Ursa | 28c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…7cb7backed ECSTATIC | 79c | 23.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Ursa | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ECSTATIC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 PlayoffsUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.