NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768222554f2536c3e750d363b4e79a00df187a1bca6c3675dc82e72b2700012e

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,203,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,606,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,203,438 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 519 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets	17c	910,626$151,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151,694.33	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Cavaliers	69c	119,210$82,282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36,928.33	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Nets	17c	79,999$13,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,599.91	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers	72c	78,660$56,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,779.05	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Nets	37c	70,482$25,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,873.44	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets	15c	63,526$9,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,428.16	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Nets	15c	61,242$9,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,186.3	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Cavaliers	78c	52,364$40,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,384.33	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets	15c	42,126$6,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,318.89	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Nets	16c	40,428$6,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,468.46	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets	24c	36,073$8,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,603.75	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets	16c	30,256$4,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,840.93	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nets	15c	29,620$4,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,487.72	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nets	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets	9c	23,477$2,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,018.86	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets	16c	22,000$3,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,434.99	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers	73c	18,106$13,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,921.91	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets	34c	15,681$5,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,331.55	463	42.5%197 W · 266 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Nets	27c	15,205$4,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,122.91	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Nets	16c	13,490$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.43	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Nets	17c	13,400$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,278	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Nets	16c	13,222$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.48	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Nets	17c	11,000$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Nets	0c	11,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers	62c	10,330$6,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,925.57	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Cavaliers	79c	10,039$7,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.1	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Nets	25c	9,400$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.9	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Nets	17c	8,764$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.27	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Nets	14c	8,659$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.4	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Nets	29c	7,328$2,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…fb82backed Nets	28c	6,986$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,972.58	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nets	15c	6,774$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.29	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	65c	6,666$4,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.09	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets	33c	6,375$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.04	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets	16c	5,850$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.99	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets	0c	5,631$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets	16c	5,047$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.52	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets	14c	5,034$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.01	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nets	22c	5,010$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.94	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Nets	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Nets	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets	17c	4,835$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.95	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nets	21c	4,806$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.6	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets	17c	4,310$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.63	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Nets	15c	4,189$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.69	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets	18c	4,182$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.1	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Nets	17c	4,118$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.06	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets	3c	3,717$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.33	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	76c	3,708$2,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.35	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Cavaliers	74c	3,706$2,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.5	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers	68c	3,469$2,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,125.86	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets	11c	3,275$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.83	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Nets	4c	3,228$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Nets	16c	3,128$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.54	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Nets	22c	3,115$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.21	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nets	22c	3,059$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.1	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nets	16c	3,000$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.5	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.97	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Nets	16c	2,925$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets	1c	2,814$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Nets	29c	2,793$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.88	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Nets	35c	2,750$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.5	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Nets	10c	2,517$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	328	27.4%90 W · 238 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0809…b2f4backed Cavaliers	79c	2,507$1,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.17	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets	7c	2,500$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.18	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e4…c4c0backed Nets	12c	2,408$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Nets	11c	2,376$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.36	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Nets	19c	2,252$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.31	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9b…4238backed Nets	40c	2,181$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.24	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd814…f34fbacked Nets	18c	2,163$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.34	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac84…5ac1backed Nets	16c	2,100$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Nets	17c	2,059$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets	25c	2,052$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.22	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Nets	15c	2,043$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.44	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Nets	25c	2,005$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.7	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Nets	29c	1,990$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Nets	25c	1,941$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.01	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Cavaliers	75c	1,874$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.92	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa81c…9f15backed Nets	18c	1,850$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe19a…769cbacked Nets	18c	1,836$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.48	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets	18c	1,723$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Cavaliers	75c	1,722$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.01	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Nets	13c	1,711$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.38	605	49.8%301 W · 304 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d3…01cfbacked Nets	18c	1,700$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Cavaliers	75c	1,700$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Cavaliers	72c	1,621$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.62	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers	76c	1,597$1,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.16	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Nets	36c	1,500$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.78	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Nets	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Cavaliers	72c	1,494$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.19	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Cavaliers	74c	1,471$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.57	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Cavaliers	75c	1,412$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.93	247	52.6%130 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b3…507fbacked Nets	17c	1,402$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.77	99	51.5%51 W · 48 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Nets	13c	1,395$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.54	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Nets	14c	1,391$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.86	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Cavaliers	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.49	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets	17c	1,320$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.07	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Nets	31c	1,320$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.2	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Cavaliers	66c	1,310$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.4	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Netsthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Nets won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nets won
Terance Mann: Points O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Nets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event