TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,230 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c14,363$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,529.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c6,979$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c2,955$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.9840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2aa…6be4backed Under48c2,199$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.481464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over53c2,165$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.0415849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02034855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under48c1,761$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.2551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…f999backed Over52c1,698$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under50c1,451$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.2210251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c1,320$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,314$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dc…cabbbacked Over52c1,304$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over34c987.58$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6619435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c908.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3153…1dbcbacked Under48c799.97$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…681abacked Under48c780$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c700$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3673,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under46c632.87$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6311942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over53c570$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.120846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c504.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c492.31$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Under71c446.5$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under66c441.14$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9913951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c353.45$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c313.35$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2c…17d2backed Under67c300.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under44c291.45$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.272,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c273.04$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under46c265$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3835843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed Under68c233.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b6…be65backed Under50c204.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…96e9backed Over51c204.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10253951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c183.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over55c182.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over57c175.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under43c158.74$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb1…fa88backed Over43c125.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over52c122.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4522048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c117.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c112.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over46c108.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd3…74bcbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4f…03acbacked Over48c96.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under60c93.64$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under68c92.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.691,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016862.5%105 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over55c91.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c82.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c61.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.741,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over40c61.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.411,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under46c59.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0714533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b96…7701backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6313…a6bdbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c49.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over38c46.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6839047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under75c43.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over25c41.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over52c38.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1da3backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510156.4%57 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under48c30.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1162049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3938540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c25.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c25.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0746940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under67c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…a622backed Under50c23.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Over53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked Under79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.