NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4eac7eb9bd1fa6a91f65db3c80cf1c2f0fd997ffe4b8aa6da930c5f7b243a8

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $476,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $486,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,782 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x906f…88b4backed Cavaliers	53c	109,308$57,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,933.48	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Nets	49c	82,114$40,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,899.4	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets	47c	80,000$37,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,400	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1716…d2b5backed Cavaliers	51c	34,505$17,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,598.03	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+4.1wins	+0.32per pick	53cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Cavaliers	53c	30,000$15,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,900	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Cavaliers	53c	22,578$11,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,966.34	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers	51c	22,206$11,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,250	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets	47c	21,513$10,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,401.81	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers	51c	16,667$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nets	49c	15,163$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,663.27	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers	51c	15,014$7,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,657.18	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers	51c	13,315$6,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,790.84	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets	47c	12,221$5,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,432.68	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f3…3110backed Cavaliers	51c	10,212$5,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,208	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	52c	10,032$5,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,216.55	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Nets	48c	9,400$4,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,887.97	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers	51c	8,824$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	53c	8,329$4,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,389.91	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	51c	7,688$3,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,921	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Cavaliers	56c	7,142$3,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,989.38	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	52c	6,837$3,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,555	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Nets	50c	5,997$2,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,998.49	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers	54c	5,922$3,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,197.76	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Cavaliers	52c	5,792$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers	52c	5,083$2,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,645.38	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers	52c	4,824$2,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,508.7	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets	50c	4,333$2,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329e…ed5cbacked Cavaliers	52c	4,253$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Nets	47c	4,000$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,119.95	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Cavaliers	53c	3,400$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets	48c	3,333$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.16	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Cavaliers	52c	3,077$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers	50c	3,014$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,507.06	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Cavaliers	53c	2,748$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.26	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Cavaliers	51c	2,724$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,389.22	244	50%122 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	48c	2,605$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.67	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Nets	50c	2,600$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Nets	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	53c	2,266$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.98	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers	52c	2,098$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cavaliers	53c	2,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,931$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	55c	1,629$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.95	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Cavaliers	65c	1,600$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Cavaliers	52c	1,538$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers	52c	1,395$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.4	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Nets	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Cavaliers	51c	1,176$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.95	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers	52c	1,083$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.16	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers	55c	1,081$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.56	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Nets	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Cavaliers	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers	53c	950$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.5	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets	48c	928.43$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.03	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers	52c	889.36$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.47	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers	59c	885.28$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.75	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	54c	885$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.94	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Cavaliers	30c	777.34$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.44	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Cavaliers	53c	757.5$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cavaliers	51c	745$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.95	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cavaliers	50c	738.48$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.24	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers	54c	728.39$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.33	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Cavaliers	51c	702.47$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.26	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers	46c	622.81$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.43	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Nets	49c	590$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.9	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Cavaliers	53c	471.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Cavaliers	23c	465$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets	77c	436.11$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.11	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Cavaliers	52c	384.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb151…7cd8backed Cavaliers	53c	373.09$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.74	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Cavaliers	52c	366.34$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.69	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	51c	353.31$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.61	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers	52c	301.83$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.95	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Nets	75c	300$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.56	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Nets	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Cavaliers	51c	291.56$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.7	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers	13c	264.91$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Cavaliers	16c	245.98$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets	49c	242$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers	51c	235.2$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.83	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Cavaliers	52c	232.69$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Cavaliers	28c	232.09$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.64	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Cavaliers	53c	218.62$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.87	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Cavaliers	53c	211.53$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.11	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Cavaliers	53c	208.86$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.97	260	43.8%114 W · 146 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	52c	203.47$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.76	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nets	47c	201.76$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.09	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cavaliers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers	54c	198$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.92	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Cavaliers	52c	192$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Cavaliers	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…203cbacked Nets	49c	180$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Nets	49c	179.8$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nets	61c	171.47$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Nets won
Cavaliers vs. NetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nets won
Terance Mann: Points O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event