NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb711ee039b55665cb6b4f60a50a80da48ec19ab0852cadf4b8022580ee3844b

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Cavaliers, Nets
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $224,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,634 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Nets	52c	120,082$62,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,640.28	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets	53c	50,700$26,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,929.72	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	48c	20,088$9,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,673.11	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers	47c	20,000$9,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,400	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers	48c	14,583$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Cavaliers	48c	14,336$6,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,875	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers	48c	13,014$6,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,211.87	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…f76ebacked Cavaliers	48c	12,252$5,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,881	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers	48c	10,380$4,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,982.31	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers	48c	8,582$4,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,161.48	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cavaliers	48c	8,348$3,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,975.5	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6b…c15fbacked Cavaliers	48c	8,143$3,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,908.57	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Cavaliers	52c	7,692$3,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,996.38	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Nets	52c	6,596$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,166.08	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers	50c	6,064$3,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,031.99	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Cavaliers	48c	5,429$2,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,605.71	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers	48c	5,352$2,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,569	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	43c	4,943$2,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,110.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers	47c	4,591$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Nets	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets	51c	4,000$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,953.52	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers	47c	3,867$1,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,805.35	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers	47c	3,150$1,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480.5	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Cavaliers	48c	3,052$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers	48c	2,700$1,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Cavaliers	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Cavaliers	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers	47c	1,909$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.42	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets	48c	1,823$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.77	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Cavaliers	48c	1,729$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Cavaliers	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nets	52c	1,487$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.83	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,077$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.31	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,045$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.39	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets	53c	700.32$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.17	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Cavaliers	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets	48c	623.87$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.41	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Cavaliers	49c	623.31$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.52	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	51c	556.19$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.45	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Cavaliers	21c	480$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Cavaliers	48c	439.95$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.58	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers	49c	410.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Nets	73c	357.38$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.14	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets	79c	323.23$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.19	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Cavaliers	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Cavaliers	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets	52c	299.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers	49c	299.29$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.65	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Cavaliers	48c	275.72$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.35	405	46.9%190 W · 215 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Cavaliers	48c	250$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Cavaliers	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nets	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Nets	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Cavaliers	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Cavaliers	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Cavaliers	39c	199.98$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.05	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Nets	48c	166$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.32	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Cavaliers	50c	165.58$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.21	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Cavaliers	47c	159.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cavaliers	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.09	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Cavaliers	55c	149$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.95	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Cavaliers	48c	116.4$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.87	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets	49c	113.64$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.25	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nets	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	47c	108.72$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.4	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Cavaliers	48c	107.91$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Nets	52c	102.91$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	49c	102.87$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Cavaliers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Cavaliers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b2…f6c3backed Cavaliers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Cavaliers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Nets	50c	98.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.02	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Nets	54c	87.76$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.37	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers	49c	87.54$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.19	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Cavaliers	48c	80.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Cavaliers	48c	75$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	50c	71.25$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Nets	52c	69.02$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Nets	51c	67.24$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.95	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7a8f…1d65backed Nets	41c	60.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	51cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Cavaliers	48c	57.51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Nets	53c	57.3$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.65	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Cavaliers	49c	56.71$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets	54c	55.4$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.57	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e27…e360backed Cavaliers	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Cavaliers	48c	51.28$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Cavaliers	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers	49c	51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Nets	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Cavaliers	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets	45c	48.3$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Nets won
Cavaliers vs. NetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 11.5No won
Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Nets won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Nets won
Terance Mann: Points O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event