TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Yes53c765.66$405 inLost-$405.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked No47c750$353 inWon+$397.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No65c529.15$346 inWon+$183.051,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes38c296.59$113 inLost-$112.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…e8abbacked Yes30c210.67$63 inLost-$63.2633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No69c150.36$104 inWon+$46.616361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x379a…c204backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d60…5c77backed Yes30c85.51$26 inLost-$25.761735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Yes31c80.16$25 inLost-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No69c65$45 inWon+$20.1522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No66c50.34$33 inWon+$17.2592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes37c39.43$15 inLost-$14.7824428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No67c35.12$24 inWon+$11.4883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.