TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.8948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c5,659$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.783,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4227…0e8cbacked Over49c5,601$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad0…9d26backed Over49c5,577$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0365…aef3backed Under51c5,043$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc524…0145backed Under51c4,892$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c2,067$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.7364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c1,694$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c1,538$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,408$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c1,300$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66180737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Under51c1,252$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.393956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa90c…3b42backed Under51c1,244$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.56450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over48c1,241$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under53c1,129$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.3415450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c1,002$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1692753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under61c822.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1120651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c749.66$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.642,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c694.34$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over51c617.25$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.838750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over52c578.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c522$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.661,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over39c501.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c499.76$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.91,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Over39c404.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2219435.1%68 W · 126 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under64c312.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5926048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c286$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.582,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6227…1888backed Under52c276.84$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over56c267.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6419045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…916dbacked Under52c253.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.661040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over50c242.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0411942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a2…2868backed Under52c231.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…b4f6backed Under52c223.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…769abacked Under53c212.78$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c211.08$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c187.44$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under47c177.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over56c177$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over50c163.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over33c117.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Over43c115.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Under51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.847332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over50c99.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over52c94.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c87.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.155,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over42c79.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4639047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under48c75.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under45c69.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3921937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d17…9988backed Under45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4f…03acbacked Over53c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under50c51.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7821459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257650%38 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…5c93backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c43.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c42.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.181,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over40c41.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.732,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf2…31f0backed Over53c39.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6254854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over51c39.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ec…f6e4backed Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1562049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed Under50c32.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4511661.2%71 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over56c27.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1612349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2633…aaefbacked Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+65.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c24.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9153453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Over52c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.