TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc770…d7d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.05
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$4.02
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$11.61
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.09
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$19.85
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+80%+$12.32
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.44
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+103.6%+$35.28
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.2%+$7.18
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.8%+$10.98
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100.6%+$10.83
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.94
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.65
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.1%+$39.67
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.33
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.3
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.34
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84.33
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.74
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.5%+$13.43
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.9%+$8.78
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$72.48
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$71.76
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-83.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$37.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.