TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cb6…1c50backed Over40c5,624$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c3,654$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.617128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under52c3,587$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.978246.3%38 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under60c3,251$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.187651.3%39 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c2,629$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.77,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under56c2,274$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.132,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over47c1,724$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.885453.7%29 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c1,418$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.242,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c1,168$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.845,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c981$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8314945.6%68 W · 81 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over36c900.79$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c862.59$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.019637.5%36 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over23c812.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.825817.2%10 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over29c802.95$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9826949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over46c774.08$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.087949.4%39 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Under71c758.4$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c674.36$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.81,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c631.32$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2692043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Under50c628.67$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over49c592.83$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.848540%34 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under55c501.45$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.92763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c499.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9910435.6%37 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under59c487.7$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd289…fd44backed Over41c457.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Over36c448.75$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5580%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under47c321.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3211941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over48c310.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.816342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over47c300.2$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.12552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c275.84$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.012,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c239.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.342,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under59c238.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.611030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c214.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2451356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under53c199.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9918749.7%93 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under80c197.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.522157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under52c195.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.021643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under54c194.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.42642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…b10fbacked Under66c183.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under72c180.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5140958.9%241 W · 168 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under72c180.48$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5126060.8%158 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under72c174.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6520953.1%111 W · 98 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under62c156.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.845160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c156.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.022,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under63c155.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.185242.3%22 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over47c153.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.636563.1%41 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over46c148.3$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4811326.5%30 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under72c143.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4832259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c121.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.326845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under53c119.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.024965.3%32 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under72c111.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3114560%87 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under72c111.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3138358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under51c107.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4911553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…b1a2backed Under61c104.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.27955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba84…363abacked Over40c100.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c100.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5431661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.472540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.472642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.593845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.536872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over49c88.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6521767.7%147 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over54c84.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.311758.1%68 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4049…d92abacked Over48c78.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under72c74.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9230656.2%172 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Under74c70.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11888.9%16 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+35.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1219860.1%119 W · 79 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Over45c61.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over44c59.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.332347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5a…e224backed Over36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c58.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3489258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c55.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6343721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under32c53.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6921036.7%77 W · 133 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over33c48.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2910456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under54c45.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.972626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over44c42.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.692045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4711056.4%62 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over49c40.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.044961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.387647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over50c37.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.957332.9%24 W · 49 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over70c37.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.348356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over51c36.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under64c35.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.548050%40 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.548050%40 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under72c28.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0425653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.567251.4%37 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over48c27.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.029256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Over52c27.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under62c26.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.112133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f8d…dcfabacked Under55c26.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.