Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3982c4701b8c79f6a2b64efc886f4754bff29f08e43f4c530c7f60a16383dfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 6,342$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 79c | 6,283$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 3,073$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Over | 62c | 1,106$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 24c | 821.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 774.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 74c | 667.79$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 622.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 455.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 452.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 26c | 326.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 27c | 307.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 26c | 272.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…c6dbbacked Over | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 26c | 238.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Under | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 27c | 219.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 26c | 189.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 188.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 27c | 178.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 74c | 165.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 123.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over | 79c | 109.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 27c | 96.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 27c | 96.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 64c | 84.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 78c | 76.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 33c | 74.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 74c | 67.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Under | 33c | 66.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 73c | 62.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…0b56backed Over | 80c | 56.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 27c | 54.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 35c | 49.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 58c | 36.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 36.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 75c | 32.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Over | 78c | 31.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 66c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…c2f4backed Over | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Over | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 72c | 22.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 66c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…52c0backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e7…0169backed Over | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 75c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…1a66backed Over | 78c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…5760backed Over | 78c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Famalicão vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Moreirense FC won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)Moreirense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.