TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers52c108,071$56,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,874.282,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pacers48c55,000$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,399.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers49c29,714$14,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,162.521,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers48c26,880$12,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,902.41,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Pacers48c22,687$10,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,889.7624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers52c10,000$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.9866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers50c8,996$4,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,507.393,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pacers48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers52c5,032$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.451,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers50c4,111$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers50c2,565$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers47c2,474$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.9939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed 76ers51c2,246$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.5434654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers53c2,153$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.543,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers52c2,013$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.331,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked 76ers47c1,977$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.897353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers54c1,861$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Pacers48c1,679$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.8343453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers47c1,625$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.722,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers51c1,576$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.561,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers51c1,042$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.522,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Pacers34c1,025$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.621243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers51c873.04$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed 76ers49c846.02$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0954853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers48c787.22$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.091,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pacers3c774.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2335326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed 76ers53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32567252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers49c600$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked 76ers53c566.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.614045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Pacers48c499.23$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 76ers51c394.02$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked 76ers53c386.79$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.3610251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Pacers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed 76ers53c354.34$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.544643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pacers48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed 76ers41c328.85$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Pacers51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…aeccbacked 76ers53c291.94$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.942166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Pacers52c285.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0737930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed 76ers49c277.89$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.234250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed 76ers50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511955.5%66 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers51c235.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.462,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked 76ers47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.943450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed 76ers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Pacers50c198$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked 76ers46c166$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed 76ers50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed 76ers50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7570153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…608cbacked 76ers51c119.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.612536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Pacers48c118.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.958243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 76ers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1730454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pacers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Pacers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc708…4ebcbacked Pacers53c95.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers47c78.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed 76ers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.185151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed 76ers48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4228251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pacers52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed 76ers53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed 76ers53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Pacers48c53.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7513…e96fbacked 76ers48c52.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed 76ers53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed 76ers53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked 76ers56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.085435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked 76ers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0832853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Pacers53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked 76ers53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.178450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked 76ers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Pacers52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…8f19backed 76ers53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked 76ers39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.431947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pacers51c39.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Pacers53c38.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.214052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed 76ers46c36.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9616745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked 76ers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2543647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Pacers52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.624653.3%131 W · 115 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed 76ers57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pacers50c27.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed 76ers53c23.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.982532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pacers72c20.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.063,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed 76ers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.